España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación
PollingForecast.com España
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Burgos

Merindad de Río Ubierna: PP would keep its majority

Merindad de Río Ubierna (Burgos, 1,392 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 55.1% of the vote (2023: 56.5%) Majority 92%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Merindad de Río Ubierna

Merindad de Río Ubierna is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 1,392 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 56.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 77.7% of the 1,193 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.5% → 55.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.2% → 30.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.1% → 12.6% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 927 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Merindad de Río Ubierna in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →