Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Carcedo de Burgos: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Carcedo de Burgos (Burgos, 465 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.3% of the vote (2023: 40.7%) Majority 8%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 37.0%) Majority 8%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 21.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Carcedo de Burgos

Carcedo de Burgos is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 465 inhabitants, the 60th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 40.7% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 3. 75.8% of the 392 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 40.7% → 38.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.0% → 37.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 21.9% → 23.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 297 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carcedo de Burgos in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →