Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valle de Santibáñez: PP would keep its majority

Valle de Santibáñez (Burgos, 476 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.8% of the vote (2023: 54.1%) Majority 82%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 25.4% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.2% of the vote (2023: 25.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.1% → 50.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.7% → 25.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.6% → 21.2% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 344 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valle de Santibáñez in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →