Belorado: VB would keep its majority
Belorado (Burgos, 1,787 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%VB majority
- 906valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VB±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 52.5% of the vote (2023: 49.4%)
Majority 85%
PP+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 28.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 20.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VBLocal lists 49.4% → 52.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 28.4% → 28.1% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 20.4% → 17.7% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 906 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Belorado in size, in Burgos
- Arcos1,840 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Villagonzalo Pedernales1,856 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Espinosa de los Monteros1,642 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Salas de los Infantes1,970 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Quintanar de la Sierra1,557 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Melgar de Fernamental1,535 inhabitants · 9 councillors