Baños de Valdearados: I.U. would keep its majority
Baños de Valdearados (Burgos, 332 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 68%I.U. majority
- 217valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Baños de Valdearados
Baños de Valdearados is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 332 inhabitants, the 81st largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 I.U. came first with 56.2% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; RENUEVA BAÑOS was second with 3. 81% of the 268 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps I.U. on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 56.2% → 51.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- RENUEVA BAÑOSLocal lists 42.4% → 46.8% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 217 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.