Arcos: PP would keep its majority
Arcos (Burgos, 1,840 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 875valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 61.2% of the vote (2023: 61.3%)
Majority over 99%
PODEMOS-IU-AV±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 14.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 5.7%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 8.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.3% → 61.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 14.6% → 11.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 5.7% → 11.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 8.9% → 9.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 8.0% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 875 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Arcos in size, in Burgos
- Villagonzalo Pedernales1,856 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Belorado1,787 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Salas de los Infantes1,970 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Espinosa de los Monteros1,642 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Quintanar de la Sierra1,557 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Roa2,201 inhabitants · 11 councillors