Valle de Trápaga-Trapagaran: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Valle de Trápaga-Trapagaran (Bizkaia, 11,918 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 5,923valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 26.6%)
Majority 2%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 31.3% of the vote (2023: 31.4%)
Majority under 1%
EAJ-PNV±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 27.4% of the vote (2023: 30.0%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 26.6% → 31.9% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 31.4% → 31.3% 6 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 30.0% → 27.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 6.2% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.6% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,923 valid votes including 130 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.