Urduliz: EH BILDU would win a majority
Urduliz (Bizkaia, 5,247 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 63%EH BILDU majority
- 2,637valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 38.8%)
Majority 63%
EAJ-PNV−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 40.5%)
Majority 15%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK E±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 8.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 38.8% → 46.7% 6 → 7 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 40.5% → 37.2% 6 → 5 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK ESumar, Podemos and allies 8.4% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.4% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.6% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,637 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.