Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Plentzia: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Plentzia (Bizkaia, 4,376 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 45.6%) Majority 89%
EAJ-PNV−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
AEI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Plentzia

Plentzia is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 4,376 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 45.6% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 3. 67.5% of the 3,435 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 45.6% → 52.1% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 25.3% → 22.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. AEILocal lists 18.1% → 20.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 3.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 2.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.1% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,318 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Plentzia in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →