Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Urduña/Orduña: EH BILDU would win a majority

Urduña/Orduña (Bizkaia, 4,166 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 52.8% of the vote (2023: 43.8%) Majority 80%
EAJ-PNV−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 42.2% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 20%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 43.8% → 52.8% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 45.9% → 42.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA - URESumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.7% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 1.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,249 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Urduña/Orduña in size, in Bizkaia

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