Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gorliz: no list would have a majority, G.H.T. largest

Gorliz (Bizkaia, 6,031 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

G.H.T.±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 32.6%) Majority 2%
EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 3%
EAJ-PNV−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 28.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. G.H.T.Local lists 32.6% → 36.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 30.5% → 34.5% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. EAJ-PNVPNV 28.4% → 24.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 2.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. P.S.E. (PSOE)PSOE 3.7% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,091 valid votes including 71 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gorliz in size, in Bizkaia

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