Ugao-Miraballes: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority
Ugao-Miraballes (Bizkaia, 4,128 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 79%EAJ-PNV majority
- 2,109valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EAJ-PNV−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 52.3% of the vote (2023: 56.6%)
Majority 79%
EH BILDU+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 43.0% of the vote (2023: 35.5%)
Majority 21%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 56.6% → 52.3% 7 → 6 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 35.5% → 43.0% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.0% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,109 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.