Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sondika: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Sondika (Bizkaia, 4,521 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 45.2% of the vote (2023: 49.4%) Majority 57%
EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.0% of the vote (2023: 34.3%) Majority 28%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 49.4% → 45.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 34.3% → 41.0% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 8.6% → 6.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.6% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,355 valid votes including 74 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sondika in size, in Bizkaia

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