Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mungia: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest

Mungia (Bizkaia, 17,662 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 40.3%) Majority 6%
EH BILDU+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.9% of the vote (2023: 29.1%) Majority 2%
CMB±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
MUNGIA ALKARTU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.9% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 40.3% → 35.8% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 29.1% → 33.9% 5 → 7 councillors
  3. CMBLocal lists 12.2% → 13.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. MUNGIA ALKARTULocal lists 7.8% → 8.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 3.7% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.2% → 2.9% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,970 valid votes including 135 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mungia in size, in Bizkaia

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