Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Lemoa: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Lemoa (Bizkaia, 3,530 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 52.4% of the vote (2023: 56.3%) Majority 67%
EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.3% of the vote (2023: 38.0%) Majority 33%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Lemoa

Lemoa is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 3,530 inhabitants, the 43rd largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 56.3% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 4. 69.8% of the 2,601 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 67% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 56.3% → 52.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 38.0% → 46.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,816 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lemoa in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →