España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Karrantza Harana/Valle de Carranza: K.Z. would keep its majority

Karrantza Harana/Valle de Carranza (Bizkaia, 2,712 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

K.Z.+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 70.7% of the vote (2023: 65.0%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 33.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. K.Z.Local lists 65.0% → 70.7% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 33.0% → 28.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 0.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,747 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Karrantza Harana/Valle de Carranza in size, in Bizkaia

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