Igorre: EH BILDU would win a majority
Igorre (Bizkaia, 4,330 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 68%EH BILDU majority
- 2,088valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Igorre
Igorre is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 4,330 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 51% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 5. 67.9% of the 3,074 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 44.4% → 52.5% 5 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 51.0% → 46.0% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,088 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.