Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gatika: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest

Gatika (Bizkaia, 1,642 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.1% of the vote (2023: 46.7%) Majority 12%
GTI±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 35.1% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 20.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 46.7% → 41.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. GTILocal lists 31.3% → 35.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 20.0% → 23.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 0.2% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 918 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gatika in size, in Bizkaia

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