Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Derio: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest

Derio (Bizkaia, 6,819 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 41.3% of the vote (2023: 45.2%) Majority 23%
EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 29.9%) Majority 4%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 73% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 45.2% → 41.3% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 29.9% → 35.7% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 17.3% → 16.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.6% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,377 valid votes including 100 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Derio in size, in Bizkaia

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