Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilassar de Mar: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Vilassar de Mar (Barcelona, 21,067 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 33.0% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority under 1%
BABORD±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 22.1%) Majority 0%
ERC - VDMFUTUR - AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 2.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vilassar de Mar

Vilassar de Mar is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 21,067 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 36% of the vote and 9 seats; BABORD was second with 5. 55.1% of the 16,082 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 36.0% → 33.0% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. BABORDLocal lists 22.1% → 23.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. ERC - VDMFUTUR - AMERC 11.7% → 15.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 14.7% → 11.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.5% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 7.1% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PVDM-CSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,869 valid votes including 205 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilassar de Mar in size, in Barcelona

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