Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Quirze del Vallès: no list would have a majority, JUNTS-ERC-AM largest

Sant Quirze del Vallès (Barcelona, 20,180 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

JUNTS-ERC-AM+2
9 councillors (2023: 7) · 33.3% of the vote (2023: 27.5%) Majority 7%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 18.1% of the vote (2023: 21.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%
SOM SQV - ARA PL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
SQVEC - C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.0% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. JUNTS-ERC-AMERC 27.5% → 33.3% 7 → 9 councillors
  2. CMJunts 21.2% → 18.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.8% → 12.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 13.7% → 10.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. SOM SQV - ARA PLLocal lists 8.0% → 7.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. PPPP 6.4% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. INDSQV-IDCLocal lists 4.2% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. SQVEC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors
  9. IMPULSA SQVLocal lists 2.5% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,699 valid votes including 177 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Quirze del Vallès in size, in Barcelona

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