Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilanova del Vallès: no list would have a majority, IVDV largest

Vilanova del Vallès (Barcelona, 5,557 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IVDV±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 41.6%) Majority 34%
UPVV±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority 1%
PSC-CP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Vilanova del Vallès

Vilanova del Vallès is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 5,557 inhabitants, the 129th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 IVDV came first with 41.6% of the vote and 6 seats; UPVV was second with 5. 59.3% of the 4,226 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: IVDV would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IVDVSumar, Podemos and allies 41.6% → 41.5% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. UPVVSumar, Podemos and allies 33.3% → 32.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 14.8% → 13.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 5.1% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. ERC - AMERC 2.7% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,508 valid votes including 61 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilanova del Vallès in size, in Barcelona

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