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Capellades: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Capellades (Barcelona, 5,344 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 29.1%) Majority 3%
VDC-CUP-AMUNT−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 19.2%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 17.8%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 3.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Capellades

Capellades is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 5,344 inhabitants, the 130th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 29.1% of the vote and 4 seats; PSC-CP was second with 3. 57.9% of the 4,213 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC - AM would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 29.1% → 34.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. VDC-CUP-AMUNTCUP 19.2% → 18.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 19.9% → 15.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 17.8% → 14.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 9.5% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. VOXVox 3.2% → 6.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,438 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Capellades in size, in Barcelona

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