Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Martorelles: ERC - AM would win a majority

Martorelles (Barcelona, 4,859 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.5% of the vote (2023: 41.6%) Majority 83%
PSC - MAPM - CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 23.9%) Majority 0%
MEC - C±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 20.0%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 41.6% → 51.5% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSC - MAPM - CPPSOE 23.9% → 19.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. MEC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 20.0% → 15.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 11.8% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,081 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Martorelles in size, in Barcelona

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