Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Martorelles: ERC - AM would win a majority

Martorelles (Barcelona, 4,859 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.5% of the vote (2023: 41.6%) Majority 83%
PSC - MAPM - CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 23.9%) Majority 0%
MEC - C±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 20.0%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Martorelles

Martorelles is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 4,859 inhabitants, the 133rd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 41.6% of the vote and 5 seats; PSC - MAPM - CP was second with 3. 54.9% of the 3,791 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 83% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 41.6% → 51.5% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSC - MAPM - CPPSOE 23.9% → 19.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. MEC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 20.0% → 15.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 11.8% → 10.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,081 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Martorelles in size, in Barcelona

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