Sant Martí de Tous: ERC - AM would keep its majority
Sant Martí de Tous (Barcelona, 1,243 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 98%ERC - AM majority
- 725valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sant Martí de Tous
Sant Martí de Tous is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 1,243 inhabitants, the 210th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 48.1% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; CP was second with 2. 75.7% of the 958 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 48.1% → 56.2% 5 → 6 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 17.1% → 16.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- CPPSOE 20.6% → 15.8% 2 → 1 councillors
- CMJunts 13.4% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 725 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.