Sant Martí de Centelles: I would keep its majority
Sant Martí de Centelles (Barcelona, 1,232 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 89%I majority
- 479valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
I−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 57.2% of the vote (2023: 62.2%)
Majority 89%
GDSMC - AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.0% of the vote (2023: 37.0%)
Majority 11%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ILocal lists 62.2% → 57.2% 6 → 5 councillors
- GDSMC - AMERC 37.0% → 42.0% 3 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 479 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.