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Sant Joan de Vilatorrada: no list would have a majority, AXSJ largest

Sant Joan de Vilatorrada (Barcelona, 10,820 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AXSJ+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 34.8% of the vote (2023: 31.8%) Majority 2%
COMPROMÍS - C−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 20.3%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 19.2%) Majority 0%
ERC-AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sant Joan de Vilatorrada

Sant Joan de Vilatorrada is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 10,820 inhabitants, the 79th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 AXSJ came first with 31.8% of the vote and 6 seats; COMPROMÍS - C was second with 4. 55.4% of the 8,171 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: AXSJ would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AXSJLocal lists 31.8% → 34.8% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. COMPROMÍS - CSumar, Podemos and allies 20.3% → 17.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 19.2% → 17.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. ERC-AMERC 9.3% → 12.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. CMJunts 11.3% → 10.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. CIUTADANS-PARTIDO DE LA CIUDADANIA (CS)Ciudadanos 3.0% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PPPP 3.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,530 valid votes including 72 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Joan de Vilatorrada in size, in Barcelona

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