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Sant Andreu de Llavaneres: no list would have a majority, AM largest

Sant Andreu de Llavaneres (Barcelona, 11,593 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
PSC - CP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 24.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 17.2%) Majority 0%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 15.4%) Majority 0%
APLL+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
MLL-C±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 9.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sant Andreu de Llavaneres

Sant Andreu de Llavaneres is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 11,593 inhabitants, the 78th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC - CP came first with 24.7% of the vote and 5 seats; AM was second with 4. 53.4% of the 8,545 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: AM would be largest on 5 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AMERC 19.7% → 26.0% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSC - CPPSOE 24.7% → 21.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.2% → 16.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. CMJunts 15.4% → 14.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. APLLLocal lists 9.4% → 9.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  6. MLL-CSumar, Podemos and allies 9.0% → 6.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. VALENTSLocal lists 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,564 valid votes including 83 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Andreu de Llavaneres in size, in Barcelona

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