Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Abrera: PSC-CP would keep its majority

Abrera (Barcelona, 12,697 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 46.8% of the vote (2023: 50.5%) Majority 67%
AEC - C−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 50.5% → 46.8% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. AEC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 21.0% → 17.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.4% → 13.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 9.1% → 11.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 6.2% → 5.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CMJunts 4.5% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,194 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Abrera in size, in Barcelona

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