Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Adrià de Besòs: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Sant Adrià de Besòs (Barcelona, 36,918 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−2
9 councillors (2023: 11) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 24%
ERC-AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%
SAEC-C−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 76% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 43.3% → 38.1% 11 → 9 councillors
  2. ERC-AMERC 14.7% → 18.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.2% → 16.2% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. PPPP 13.3% → 11.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. SAEC-CSumar, Podemos and allies 7.9% → 5.2% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PACMALocal lists 3.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CMJunts 3.1% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 2.0% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. VALENTSLocal lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. ARA PLLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,435 valid votes including 137 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Adrià de Besòs in size, in Barcelona

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