Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilafranca del Penedès: no list would have a majority, ERC / ESQUERRA largest

Vilafranca del Penedès (Barcelona, 40,056 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC / ESQUERRA+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 20.9%) Majority 0%
PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURA−2
6 councillors (2023: 8) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 30.1%) Majority 0%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 20.9%) Majority 0%
CUP- AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 4.3%) Majority 0%
VEC - C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.2% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 20.9% → 26.3% 5 → 7 councillors
  2. PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURAPSOE 30.1% → 26.0% 8 → 6 councillors
  3. CMJunts 20.9% → 18.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. CUP- AMUNTCUP 11.1% → 11.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 4.3% → 8.9% 0 → 2 councillors
  6. VEC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. PPPP 4.1% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. VALENTSLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,268 valid votes including 278 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilafranca del Penedès in size, in Barcelona

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