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Premià de Dalt: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Premià de Dalt (Barcelona, 10,400 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 42.5% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 32%
VXPD - ARA PL±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%
CPD - AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.9% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Premià de Dalt

Premià de Dalt is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 10,400 inhabitants, the 81st largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 45.9% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; VXPD - ARA PL was second with 4. 58.5% of the 7,876 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 45.9% → 42.5% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. VXPD - ARA PLLocal lists 18.5% → 19.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 13.2% → 17.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CPD - AMUNTCUP 8.1% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 8.5% → 5.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 4.3% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,604 valid votes including 66 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Premià de Dalt in size, in Barcelona

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