Palafolls: ERC - AM would win a majority
Palafolls (Barcelona, 9,661 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 86%ERC - AM majority
- 3,958valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Palafolls
Palafolls is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 9,661 inhabitants, the 90th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 39.3% of the vote and 6 seats; PSC-CP was second with 5. 53.7% of the 7,371 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 86% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 39.3% → 48.1% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 30.4% → 25.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- PLSLocal lists 15.1% → 14.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 4.7% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- CMJunts 2.7% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- EU-CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- NPRSLocal lists 1.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,958 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Palafolls in size, in Barcelona
- Masquefa9,744 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Matadepera9,752 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Bigues i Riells9,757 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Santa Maria de Palautordera9,777 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Sentmenat9,417 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Sant Vicenç de Castellet9,949 inhabitants · 13 councillors