Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Olivella: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Olivella (Barcelona, 4,339 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.6% of the vote (2023: 44.9%) Majority 19%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 24.8%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 81% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 44.9% → 39.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 24.8% → 21.8% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 14.4% → 18.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 9.5% → 15.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 4.7% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,372 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olivella in size, in Barcelona

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