Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Papiol: no list would have a majority, CM largest

El Papiol (Barcelona, 4,274 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.0% of the vote (2023: 45.1%) Majority 38%
SUMEM PER EL PAPIOL- CP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 1%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
APM - AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 61% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 45.1% → 43.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. SUMEM PER EL PAPIOL- CPPSOE 34.5% → 32.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 9.9% → 13.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. APM - AMUNTCUP 7.8% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,898 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Papiol in size, in Barcelona

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