El Papiol: no list would have a majority, CM largest
El Papiol (Barcelona, 4,274 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 61%no list with a majority
- 1,898valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 61% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Papiol
El Papiol is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 4,274 inhabitants, the 140th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 45.1% of the vote and 5 seats; SUMEM PER EL PAPIOL- CP was second with 4. 58.3% of the 3,257 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 45.1% → 43.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- SUMEM PER EL PAPIOL- CPPSOE 34.5% → 32.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 9.9% → 13.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- APM - AMUNTCUP 7.8% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,898 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Papiol in size, in Barcelona
- Puig-reig4,327 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Olivella4,339 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Sant Climent de Llobregat4,170 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Pont de Vilomara i Rocafort4,024 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Cardona4,575 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Torre de Claramunt3,966 inhabitants · 11 councillors