Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Olesa de Bonesvalls: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Olesa de Bonesvalls (Barcelona, 2,016 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 28.2%) Majority 6%
PSC-CP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority under 1%
GOOB-FIC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Olesa de Bonesvalls

Olesa de Bonesvalls is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,016 inhabitants, the 195th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 35.1% of the vote and 4 seats; ERC - AM was second with 4. 54.4% of the 1,614 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-CP would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 28.2% → 35.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 35.1% → 31.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. GOOB-FICLocal lists 14.7% → 15.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 12.3% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ECPOB - CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 878 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olesa de Bonesvalls in size, in Barcelona

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