Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ullastrell: ERC - AM would keep its majority

Ullastrell (Barcelona, 2,139 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 82.3% of the vote (2023: 77.8%) Majority over 99%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 12.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ullastrell

Ullastrell is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,139 inhabitants, the 191st largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 77.8% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 1. 52.8% of the 1,614 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 77.8% → 82.3% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 12.1% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 852 valid votes including 86 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ullastrell in size, in Barcelona

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