Monistrol de Calders: CM would keep its majority
Monistrol de Calders (Barcelona, 742 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 77%CM majority
- 397valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Monistrol de Calders
Monistrol de Calders is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 742 inhabitants, the 234th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 60.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; ERC-AM was second with 2. 61.7% of the 643 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 77% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 60.5% → 52.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- ERC-AMERC 35.5% → 43.6% 2 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 397 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.