Òrrius: ERC / ESQUERRA would win a majority
Òrrius (Barcelona, 793 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 74%ERC / ESQUERRA majority
- 388valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC / ESQUERRA+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 41.0%)
Majority 74%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 43.4% of the vote (2023: 50.0%)
Majority 26%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC / ESQUERRAERC 41.0% → 50.4% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 50.0% → 43.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 6.2% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 388 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.