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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Mataró: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Mataró (Barcelona, 128,956 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 33.2%) Majority 1%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.4% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%
ECPM-C−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 33.2% → 28.5% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. VOXVox 12.5% → 19.1% 4 → 6 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 14.8% → 18.3% 4 → 6 councillors
  4. CMJunts 9.2% → 8.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 8.6% → 7.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. CUP-AMUNTCUP 5.4% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. ECPM-CSumar, Podemos and allies 7.4% → 4.7% 2 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 2.5% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. MEM - ARA PLLocal lists 2.4% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. VALENTSLocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. F.N.C.Local lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 45,209 valid votes including 873 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mataró in size, in Barcelona

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