Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Manlleu: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Manlleu (Barcelona, 20,883 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 31.5%) Majority 1%
ERC - AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
AGM - ARA PL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%
ALIANÇA.CAT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%
CS+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 4.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 31.5% → 29.2% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 17.3% → 22.7% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 17.1% → 14.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. CUP-AMUNTCUP 9.5% → 10.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. AGM - ARA PLLocal lists 7.5% → 7.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. ALIANÇA.CATLocal lists 5.8% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 4.8% → 5.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  8. MNECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,203 valid votes including 146 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Manlleu in size, in Barcelona

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