Manlleu: no list would have a majority, CM largest
Manlleu (Barcelona, 20,883 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 6,203valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 31.5%)
Majority 1%
ERC - AM+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 17.3%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 17.1%)
Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 9.5%)
Majority 0%
AGM - ARA PL±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
ALIANÇA.CAT±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 5.8%)
Majority 0%
CS+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 4.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 31.5% → 29.2% 8 → 7 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 17.3% → 22.7% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 17.1% → 14.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 9.5% → 10.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- AGM - ARA PLLocal lists 7.5% → 7.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- ALIANÇA.CATLocal lists 5.8% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.8% → 5.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- MNECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,203 valid votes including 146 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Manlleu in size, in Barcelona
- Vilassar de Mar21,067 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Les Franqueses del Vallès20,322 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Sant Quirze del Vallès20,180 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Sant Just Desvern19,806 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Esparreguera22,365 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Calella19,363 inhabitants · 17 councillors