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La Pobla de Claramunt: no list would have a majority, P! largest

La Pobla de Claramunt (Barcelona, 2,275 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

P!±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.2% of the vote (2023: 40.9%) Majority 33%
CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 33.2%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 15.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Pobla de Claramunt

La Pobla de Claramunt is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,275 inhabitants, the 180th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 P! came first with 40.9% of the vote and 5 seats; CM was second with 4. 63.3% of the 1,753 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: P! would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. P!Local lists 40.9% → 43.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 33.2% → 30.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 9.6% → 12.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CPPSOE 15.2% → 12.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,110 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Pobla de Claramunt in size, in Barcelona

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