Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Llacuna: no list would have a majority, CM largest

La Llacuna (Barcelona, 942 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 44.0% of the vote (2023: 49.3%) Majority 34%
AXLL-AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 40.9% of the vote (2023: 32.4%) Majority 16%
CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Llacuna

La Llacuna is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 942 inhabitants, the 222nd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 49.3% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; AXLL-AM was second with 2. 76.1% of the 706 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 49.3% → 44.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. AXLL-AMERC 32.4% → 40.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CPPSOE 16.2% → 13.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 537 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Llacuna in size, in Barcelona

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