Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Rellinars: G.I.R. would keep its majority

Rellinars (Barcelona, 915 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

G.I.R.−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 54.9% of the vote (2023: 56.6%) Majority 90%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority 10%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. G.I.R.Local lists 56.6% → 54.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 33.3% → 40.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. RECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 3.5% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 426 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Rellinars in size, in Barcelona

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