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La Garriga: no list would have a majority, CM largest

La Garriga (Barcelona, 16,788 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 40.5%) Majority 10%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%
100% LA GARRIGA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 16.7%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Garriga

La Garriga is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 16,788 inhabitants, the 56th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 40.5% of the vote and 8 seats; 100% LA GARRIGA was second with 3. 57.5% of the 12,734 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 40.5% → 38.1% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 13.8% → 18.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. 100% LA GARRIGALocal lists 16.7% → 18.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. CUP-AMUNTCUP 11.7% → 12.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 10.8% → 8.3% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. LGECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.0% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,321 valid votes including 183 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Garriga in size, in Barcelona

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