Gavà: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest
Gavà (Barcelona, 46,974 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 91%no list with a majority
- 16,559valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSC-CP−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 35.3% of the vote (2023: 40.1%)
Majority 9%
ERC - AM+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 20.0% of the vote (2023: 16.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 8.1%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 13.0%)
Majority 0%
CM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 6.9%)
Majority 0%
ECP - C−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 8.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSC-CPPSOE 40.1% → 35.3% 10 → 9 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 16.0% → 20.0% 3 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 8.1% → 13.7% 2 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 13.0% → 11.7% 3 → 2 councillors
- CMJunts 6.9% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- ECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 8.2% → 5.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.2% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 1.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,559 valid votes including 315 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Gavà in size, in Barcelona
- Esplugues de Llobregat46,414 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Vic47,545 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Sant Feliu de Llobregat45,642 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Mollet del Vallès51,294 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Igualada40,767 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Vilafranca del Penedès40,056 inhabitants · 21 councillors