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Castellterçol: no list would have a majority, CEP largest

Castellterçol (Barcelona, 2,655 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CEP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 34.6%) Majority 2%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 38.5%) Majority 2%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.7% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Castellterçol

Castellterçol is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,655 inhabitants, the 167th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 38.5% of the vote and 5 seats; CEP was second with 4. 52.1% of the 2,075 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CEPLocal lists 34.6% → 35.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. CMJunts 38.5% → 34.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 19.3% → 24.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CPPSOE 5.3% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,081 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castellterçol in size, in Barcelona

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